Braves shoot for another win over floundering Fish

Baseball Betting Lines

06/04/2008 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Braves aim for another win over the National League East-rival Florida Marlins in this afternoon's third installment of a four-game series at Turner Field.

Atlanta entered this series on a three-game losing streak before recording a 7-5, 10-inning victory over the Marlins on Monday. The Braves then made it two straight over Florida with a 5-4 triumph on Tuesday, as Chipper Jones belted a three-run homer, scored twice and collected two hits to lead the way. He now has 399 career home runs.

Greg Norton put the Braves ahead for good with a two-run double in the eighth inning.

Relief pitcher Will Ohman worked a scoreless top of the eighth for his second win in as many nights. Rafael Soriano then retired the Marlins in order in the ninth for his second save of the season. Starter Jorge Campillo lasted just four innings and surrendered four runs on six hits in the no-decision.

The Braves are 2-0 on a seven-game homestand and own a strong 24-7 mark at Turner Field this season.

Tom Glavine will try to pitch himself back into the win column when he toes the rubber this afternoon for the Braves. Glavine is 0-1 in two starts since a personal two-game winning streak, having posted a no-decision the last time out Friday at Cincinnati.

Glavine allowed a pair of runs on five hits in six innings of Atlanta's 3-2 setback to the Reds. He is 2-2 with a 4.56 earned run average in 10 starts this season.

The veteran lefty is 17-19 with a 4.03 ERA in 48 career starts against the Marlins.

Florida has lost three straight and six of seven games to fall 2 1/2 games off Philadelphia's lead in the NL East. Atlanta is right behind at 3 1/2 games in back of the Phillies.

Dan Uggla homered twice and knocked in three runs on Tuesday, while Jorge Cantu had the other RBI for the Marlins. Starter Burke Badenhop worked five innings, allowing three runs on three hits and five walks in a no-decision. Matt Lindstrom was saddled with the loss in relief.

The Marlins are 2-6 on a 10-game road trip and 13-14 away from Dolphin Stadium this season. They will hand the pitching duties to Mark Hendrickson today, and he is 7-3 with a 5.26 ERA in 12 starts this season.

Hendrickson had a two-start losing streak come to an end his last time out on Friday at Philadelphia. He allowed a season-high 10 runs and seven hits in just 3 2/3 frames of work and the Phillies won the game, 12-3.

The former NBA player will face Atlanta for the second time this season after beating the Braves on April 16. In a 6-5 win at Dolphin Stadium, Hendrickson yielded three runs -- two earned -- on six hits over 5 1/3 innings. He is 1-2 with a 3.93 ERA in three career starts against Florida.

Atlanta is 4-3 against Florida this season and 35-27 in the series since the start of the 2005 campaign. Atlanta is 21-10 versus the Marlins at Turner Field over that stretch.

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Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite.  Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight.  With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites.  As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).

Midwest

#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler

The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April.  Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT.  After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games.  Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season.  As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers.  Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS).  Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field.  With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.

#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV

As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year.  If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season.  As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well.  This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons.  Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late.  There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games.  It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.

East

#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown

“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season.  Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU.  They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games.  With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field.  Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense.  Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc.  The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range.  Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.

#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC

The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country.  Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times.  Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter.  UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen.  UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS.  An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games.  This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS.  USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types.  An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough.  USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS.  They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12.  When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.

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